Boston College
W-L: (14-38) PR = 90.4078Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 A Eastern Kentucky ASUN ( 4-11, 90.2) 8- 4 206 H Penn State B10 (32-22, 95.0) 0- 7 207 A Tennessee SEC (45-15, 96.9) 0- 6 207 H SE Louisiana SL (12-15, 93.7) 1-10 208 H Longwood BSO ( 0-11, 87.8) 3- 1 212 H Kansas B12 (34-24, 95.2) 4- 2 213 H DePaul BE ( 1- 5, 90.6) 9- 1 213 H Yale IVY ( 2- 5, 87.4) 0- 2 214 A South Florida AC (42-18, 93.4) 4- 5 214 H Indiana State MV ( 1- 8, 88.3) 1- 4 220 A Marist MAAC ( 3-10, 89.3) 10- 7 220 H Saint Joseph's A10 ( 3-11, 89.5) 2- 8 221 A South Florida AC (42-18, 93.4) 1- 7 221 H Colgate PAT ( 1- 8, 86.0) 4- 7 222 H Miami (OH) MA ( 7- 7, 94.1) 9- 4 227 A North Carolina ACC (31-19, 93.8) 9-10 228 A North Carolina ACC (31-19, 93.8) 4- 5 301 A North Carolina ACC (31-19, 93.8) 10- 2 301 A North Carolina ACC (31-19, 93.8) 10- 2 303 A North Carolina A&T CA ( 1- 2, 87.3) 11- 2 305 A Michigan B10 (35-22, 94.8) 1- 7 306 A James Madison SB (28-21, 92.7) 7- 6 306 H Penn State B10 (32-22, 95.0) 3- 8 307 A Bryant AE ( 3-12, 86.8) 13- 0 307 H Radford BSO ( 3-13, 90.1) 2- 3 313 A South Carolina SEC (32-30, 95.0) 2-10 314 A South Carolina SEC (32-30, 95.0) 1- 9 315 A South Carolina SEC (32-30, 95.0) 1- 2 318 A Rutgers B10 (28-27, 93.4) 0- 8 320 A Pittsburgh ACC (26-25, 90.7) 8- 9 321 A Pittsburgh ACC (26-25, 90.7) 6- 3 322 A Pittsburgh ACC (26-25, 90.7) 9-12 327 A Wichita State AC (36-16, 94.7) 4- 5 327 A Purdue B10 (36-17, 94.5) 0- 1 329 H Virginia Tech ACC (48-12, 97.0) 3-17 403 A Georgia Tech ACC (35-26, 94.8) 1- 5 403 A Georgia Tech ACC (35-26, 94.8) 8-11 404 A Georgia Tech ACC (35-26, 94.8) 4-11 407 H UConn BE ( 3-13, 91.4) 5- 6 410 H Syracuse ACC (19-27, 88.9) 1- 4 411 H Syracuse ACC (19-27, 88.9) 4- 6 412 H Syracuse ACC (19-27, 88.9) 7- 6 417 H Duke ACC (46-15, 96.6) 2-12 418 H Duke ACC (46-15, 96.6) 6-17 418 H Duke ACC (46-15, 96.6) 4-17 421 H Bryant AE ( 3-12, 86.8) 8- 0 424 A Notre Dame ACC (24-29, 93.0) 1- 5 425 A Notre Dame ACC (24-29, 93.0) 1- 2 426 H James Madison SB (28-21, 92.7) 2- 6 501 H Florida State ACC (52-10, 97.5) 0-10 502 H Florida State ACC (52-10, 97.5) 0- 8 503 H Florida State ACC (52-10, 97.5) 0- 8
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 A Eastern Kentucky 8- 4 4 -1 ++ 4.54
206 H Penn State 0- 7 -7 -4 - -3.19
207 A Tennessee 0- 6 -6 -7 1.25
207 H SE Louisiana 1-10 -9 -3 --- -6.48
208 H Longwood 3- 1 2 3 -1.32
212 H Kansas 4- 2 2 -4 +++ 6.04
213 H DePaul 9- 1 8 1 +++ 7.43
213 H Yale 0- 2 -2 4 -- -5.78
214 A South Florida 4- 5 -1 -4 + 2.78
214 H Indiana State 1- 4 -3 3 -- -5.85
220 A Marist 10- 7 3 0 + 2.63
220 H Saint Joseph's 2- 8 -6 2 --- -7.61
221 A South Florida 1- 7 -6 -4 - -2.22
221 H Colgate 4- 7 -3 5 --- -8.17
222 H Miami (OH) 9- 4 5 -3 +++ 7.90
227 A North Carolina 9-10 -1 -4 + 3.12
228 A North Carolina 4- 5 -1 -4 + 3.12
301 A North Carolina 10- 2 8 -4 +++ 12.12
301 A North Carolina 10- 2 8 -4 +++ 12.12
303 A North Carolina A&T 11- 2 9 2 +++ 6.62
305 A Michigan 1- 7 -6 -5 -0.91
306 A James Madison 7- 6 1 -3 ++ 4.06
306 H Penn State 3- 8 -5 -4 -1.19
307 A Bryant 13- 0 13 3 +++ 10.14
307 H Radford 2- 3 -1 1 - -2.08
313 A South Carolina 2-10 -8 -5 - -2.70
314 A South Carolina 1- 9 -8 -5 - -2.70
315 A South Carolina 1- 2 -1 -5 ++ 4.30
318 A Rutgers 0- 8 -8 -4 -- -4.22
320 A Pittsburgh 8- 9 -1 -1 0.05
321 A Pittsburgh 6- 3 3 -1 ++ 4.05
322 A Pittsburgh 9-12 -3 -1 -1.95
327 A Wichita State 4- 5 -1 -5 + 3.99
329 H Virginia Tech 3-17 -14 -6 --- -8.12
403 A Georgia Tech 1- 5 -4 -5 1.17
403 A Georgia Tech 8-11 -3 -5 + 2.17
404 A Georgia Tech 4-11 -7 -5 -1.83
407 H UConn 5- 6 -1 0 -0.75
410 H Syracuse 1- 4 -3 2 -- -5.27
411 H Syracuse 4- 6 -2 2 -- -4.27
412 H Syracuse 7- 6 1 2 -1.27
417 H Duke 2-12 -10 -5 -- -4.54
418 H Duke 6-17 -11 -5 -- -5.54
418 H Duke 4-17 -13 -5 --- -7.54
421 H Bryant 8- 0 8 4 + 3.66
424 A Notre Dame 1- 5 -4 -3 -0.68
425 A Notre Dame 1- 2 -1 -3 + 2.32
426 H James Madison 2- 6 -4 -2 - -2.42
501 H Florida State 0-10 -10 -6 - -3.67
502 H Florida State 0- 8 -8 -6 -1.67
503 H Florida State 0- 8 -8 -6 -1.67
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 207 H SE Louisiana 1-10 -9 -3 --- -6.48 220 H Saint Joseph's 2- 8 -6 2 --- -7.61 221 H Colgate 4- 7 -3 5 --- -8.17 329 H Virginia Tech 3-17 -14 -6 --- -8.12 418 H Duke 4-17 -13 -5 --- -7.54 213 H Yale 0- 2 -2 4 -- -5.78 214 H Indiana State 1- 4 -3 3 -- -5.85 318 A Rutgers 0- 8 -8 -4 -- -4.22 410 H Syracuse 1- 4 -3 2 -- -5.27 411 H Syracuse 4- 6 -2 2 -- -4.27 417 H Duke 2-12 -10 -5 -- -4.54 418 H Duke 6-17 -11 -5 -- -5.54 206 H Penn State 0- 7 -7 -4 - -3.19 221 A South Florida 1- 7 -6 -4 - -2.22 307 H Radford 2- 3 -1 1 - -2.08 313 A South Carolina 2-10 -8 -5 - -2.70 314 A South Carolina 1- 9 -8 -5 - -2.70 426 H James Madison 2- 6 -4 -2 - -2.42 501 H Florida State 0-10 -10 -6 - -3.67 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 212 H Kansas 4- 2 2 -4 +++ 6.04 213 H DePaul 9- 1 8 1 +++ 7.43 222 H Miami (OH) 9- 4 5 -3 +++ 7.90 301 A North Carolina 10- 2 8 -4 +++ 12.12 301 A North Carolina 10- 2 8 -4 +++ 12.12 303 A North Carolina A&T 11- 2 9 2 +++ 6.62 307 A Bryant 13- 0 13 3 +++ 10.14 206 A Eastern Kentucky 8- 4 4 -1 ++ 4.54 306 A James Madison 7- 6 1 -3 ++ 4.06 315 A South Carolina 1- 2 -1 -5 ++ 4.30 321 A Pittsburgh 6- 3 3 -1 ++ 4.05 214 A South Florida 4- 5 -1 -4 + 2.78 220 A Marist 10- 7 3 0 + 2.63 227 A North Carolina 9-10 -1 -4 + 3.12 228 A North Carolina 4- 5 -1 -4 + 3.12 327 A Wichita State 4- 5 -1 -5 + 3.99 403 A Georgia Tech 8-11 -3 -5 + 2.17 421 H Bryant 8- 0 8 4 + 3.66 425 A Notre Dame 1- 2 -1 -3 + 2.32 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Eastern Kentuc ( 4-11, 90.2) 8- 4 -9.70 9.67 0.74 0.48 10.10
3 H Penn State (32-22, 95.0) 0- 7 -4.94 14.43 -0.74 0.48 -1.38
3 A Tennessee (45-15, 96.9) 0- 6 -2.99 16.38 0.74 0.48 -0.54
3 H SE Louisiana (12-15, 93.7) 1-10 -6.23 13.14 -0.74 0.48 -1.69
3 H Longwood ( 0-11, 87.8) 3- 1 -12.07 7.30 -0.74 0.48 6.36
3 H Kansas (34-24, 95.2) 4- 2 -4.71 14.66 -0.74 0.48 13.49
3 H DePaul ( 1- 5, 90.6) 9- 1 -9.32 10.05 -0.74 0.48 9.02
3 H Yale ( 2- 5, 87.4) 0- 2 -12.53 6.84 -0.74 0.48 -3.22
3 A South Florida (42-18, 93.4) 4- 5 -6.46 12.91 0.74 0.48 -1.38
3 H Indiana State ( 1- 8, 88.3) 1- 4 -11.60 7.77 -0.74 0.48 -2.99
3 A Marist ( 3-10, 89.3) 10- 7 -10.60 8.77 0.74 0.48 9.22
3 H Saint Joseph's ( 3-11, 89.5) 2- 8 -10.36 9.01 -0.74 0.48 -2.69
3 A South Florida (42-18, 93.4) 1- 7 -6.46 12.91 0.74 0.48 -1.38
3 H Colgate ( 1- 8, 86.0) 4- 7 -13.92 5.45 -0.74 0.48 -3.55
3 H Miami (OH) ( 7- 7, 94.1) 9- 4 -5.85 13.52 -0.74 0.48 12.39
3 A North Carolina (31-19, 93.8) 9-10 -6.11 13.26 0.74 0.48 -1.30
3 A North Carolina (31-19, 93.8) 4- 5 -6.11 13.26 0.74 0.48 -1.30
3 A North Carolina (31-19, 93.8) 10- 2 -6.11 13.26 0.74 0.48 13.57
3 A North Carolina (31-19, 93.8) 10- 2 -6.11 13.26 0.74 0.48 13.57
3 A North Carolina ( 1- 2, 87.3) 11- 2 -12.62 6.75 0.74 0.48 7.27
3 A Michigan (35-22, 94.8) 1- 7 -5.14 14.23 0.74 0.48 -1.07
3 A James Madison (28-21, 92.7) 7- 6 -7.17 12.20 0.74 0.48 12.54
3 H Penn State (32-22, 95.0) 3- 8 -4.94 14.43 -0.74 0.48 -1.38
3 A Bryant ( 3-12, 86.8) 13- 0 -13.09 6.28 0.74 0.48 6.80
3 H Radford ( 3-13, 90.1) 2- 3 -9.83 9.54 -0.74 0.48 -2.56
3 A South Carolina (32-30, 95.0) 2-10 -4.93 14.44 0.74 0.48 -1.02
3 A South Carolina (32-30, 95.0) 1- 9 -4.93 14.44 0.74 0.48 -1.02
3 A South Carolina (32-30, 95.0) 1- 2 -4.93 14.44 0.74 0.48 -1.02
3 A Rutgers (28-27, 93.4) 0- 8 -6.46 12.91 0.74 0.48 -1.38
3 A Pittsburgh (26-25, 90.7) 8- 9 -9.19 10.18 0.74 0.48 -2.05
3 A Pittsburgh (26-25, 90.7) 6- 3 -9.19 10.18 0.74 0.48 10.59
3 A Pittsburgh (26-25, 90.7) 9-12 -9.19 10.18 0.74 0.48 -2.05
3 A Wichita State (36-16, 94.7) 4- 5 -5.24 14.13 0.74 0.48 -1.09
3 A Purdue (36-17, 94.5) 0- 1 -5.45 13.92 0.74 0.48 -1.14
3 H Virginia Tech (48-12, 97.0) 3-17 -2.87 16.50 -0.74 0.48 -0.88
3 A Georgia Tech (35-26, 94.8) 1- 5 -5.06 14.31 0.74 0.48 -1.05
3 A Georgia Tech (35-26, 94.8) 8-11 -5.06 14.31 0.74 0.48 -1.05
3 A Georgia Tech (35-26, 94.8) 4-11 -5.06 14.31 0.74 0.48 -1.05
3 H UConn ( 3-13, 91.4) 5- 6 -8.50 10.87 -0.74 0.48 -2.24
3 H Syracuse (19-27, 88.9) 1- 4 -11.02 8.35 -0.74 0.48 -2.85
3 H Syracuse (19-27, 88.9) 4- 6 -11.02 8.35 -0.74 0.48 -2.85
3 H Syracuse (19-27, 88.9) 7- 6 -11.02 8.35 -0.74 0.48 7.38
3 H Duke (46-15, 96.6) 2-12 -3.29 16.08 -0.74 0.48 -0.98
3 H Duke (46-15, 96.6) 6-17 -3.29 16.08 -0.74 0.48 -0.98
3 H Duke (46-15, 96.6) 4-17 -3.29 16.08 -0.74 0.48 -0.98
3 H Bryant ( 3-12, 86.8) 8- 0 -13.09 6.28 -0.74 0.48 5.37
3 A Notre Dame (24-29, 93.0) 1- 5 -6.91 12.46 0.74 0.48 -1.49
3 A Notre Dame (24-29, 93.0) 1- 2 -6.91 12.46 0.74 0.48 -1.49
3 H James Madison (28-21, 92.7) 2- 6 -7.17 12.20 -0.74 0.48 -1.92
3 H Florida State (52-10, 97.5) 0-10 -2.42 16.95 -0.74 0.48 -0.77
3 H Florida State (52-10, 97.5) 0- 8 -2.42 16.95 -0.74 0.48 -0.77
3 H Florida State (52-10, 97.5) 0- 8 -2.42 16.95 -0.74 0.48 -0.77
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78.38
|
winning pts = 137.6754 losing points = -59.2916
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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